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Taxi Industry Market Analysis

AI-Powered Intelligence for Regulatory Reform

A Case Study with the Victorian Government

Forward Deployed Engineer (FDE)Market IntelligenceRegulatory AIData Productization

The Challenge: Making Sense of 30 Million Taxi Trips

Victoria's taxi market was facing major reform. Regulators needed a clear, evidence-based view of how supply and demand worked across the state to set sustainable fares. The problem: their data was vast, fragmented across multiple systems, and inconsistent.

"How do you set fair fares when the data comes in torrents of unstructured trips, shifts, and operator records?"

Over 30 million trip records, plus driver shift logs, subsidy data, and licence records, had to be consolidated and analysed. Without a unified view, fare reviews risked being based on incomplete insights, which could harm both driver livelihoods and passenger accessibility.

Our FDE Approach: Engineering a Market Intelligence Platform

Using the Forward Deployed Engineering (FDE) model, our data engineers and econometric analysts embedded directly with the Essential Services Commission. Together, we designed and built a robust data product to transform raw data into regulatory insight.

Core components of the platform included:

  • Data Consolidation & Cleansing: An automated pipeline integrated 30M+ trip records, shift data, subsidies, and licence files into a central SQL environment. It systematically removed anomalies, errors, and duplicates to create a trusted dataset.
  • Segmentation Framework: We developed a model to break down the market into geographic (Airport, CBD, regional hubs) and behavioural segments (hail, pre-booked, social hours, disability subsidies) to understand each sub-market's unique dynamics.
  • Market Analytics Engine: This engine produced key metrics such as demand patterns, driver waiting times, occupancy rates, trip distances, and fare revenue for every segment, allowing for granular analysis.
  • Regulatory Dashboard: We productized the outputs into interactive dashboards with tables, graphs, and maps, making results accessible for decision-makers and allowing them to test fare scenarios and sensitivities.

Visualized Insights: A Clear Picture of the Market

Average Revenue per Trip ($)

Average Driver Wait Times (Minutes)

Trip Share by Submarket (%)

Revenue Share by Submarket (%)

Key Takeaways for Decision-Makers

  • The Airport is Highly Profitable but Inefficient: Airport trips bring in the most money per trip ($54.50), more than double any other area. However, this comes at the cost of an extremely long average wait time for drivers (81 minutes), highlighting a key area for operational improvements.
  • The CBD is the Core Market: The Central Business District is the engine of the market, making up almost half of all trips (46%). This high volume means that even small regulatory changes in the CBD can have a significant impact on the entire system.
  • The Airport's Outsized Economic Importance: While the airport only accounts for 7% of trips, it generates a massive 17% of the industry's total revenue. This makes it a critical sub-market where policy changes must be carefully considered to protect a vital income source for drivers.

The Strategic Impact: From Raw Data to Fair Fares

Evidence

For Fare Reviews

Equipped regulators with a defensible, data-driven evidence base.

Efficiency

Gaps Identified

Pinpointed major inefficiencies, like the 80+ minute airport wait times.

Clarity

On Economic Drivers

Highlighted the oversized economic role of key sub-markets like the airport.

Balance

For the Market

Enabled fares that balance driver income and passenger access for the long term.

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